flowchart TB
ROE[ROE]
ROE --> NPM[Net Profit<br/>Margin]
ROE --> TAT[Total Asset<br/>Turnover]
ROE --> EM[Equity<br/>Multiplier]
NPM --> P[Profitability]
TAT --> E[Efficiency]
EM --> L[Leverage]
classDef default fill:#003366,color:#ffffff,stroke:#ffcc00,stroke-width:3px,rx:10px,ry:10px;
39 Financial Statement Analysis
39.1 What is Financial Statement Analysis?
Financial Statement Analysis (FSA) is the process of evaluating a firm’s past, present and projected performance and position by analysing its financial statements through ratios, trends and comparisons. John N. Myer, in Financial Statement Analysis (1952), gave the first systematic textbook on FSA. Alexander Wall in 1919 pioneered the use of ratios for credit appraisal.
| Author | Definition |
|---|---|
| John N. Myer (1952) | “The process of determining the significant operating and financial characteristics of a firm from accounting data, with a view to making it useful for decision-making.” |
| Foulke | “A study of the relationship among the various financial factors in a business as disclosed by a single set of statements and a study of the trends of these factors as shown in a series of statements.” |
| Kennedy & McMullen | “Analysis and interpretation of financial statements helps in determining the liquidity, solvency, profitability and growth potential of the enterprise.” |
| AAA | “The classification of data on financial statements and the establishment of relationships among them for decision-making.” |
39.2 Tools / Techniques of FSA
| Technique | What it does |
|---|---|
| Horizontal / Comparative analysis | Compare line items across years; base-year % |
| Vertical / Common-size analysis | Each item as % of a base (Sales for P&L, Total Assets for BS) |
| Trend analysis | Multi-year index numbers; base year = 100 |
| Ratio analysis | Financial ratios — liquidity, leverage, profitability, activity, market |
| Fund flow analysis | Movement of working capital (legacy) |
| Cash flow analysis | Movement of cash (AS-3 / Ind AS-7) |
| Du Pont analysis | ROE decomposition |
| EVA / MVA | Economic Value Added; Market Value Added |
39.3 Comparative & Common-Size Statements
- Comparative statements — show absolute amounts + absolute change + % change across years; horizontal analysis.
- Common-size statements — every line shown as a % of a base — Sales (P&L) or Total Assets (BS); vertical analysis. Allows comparison across firms of different sizes.
- Trend statements — show indexed values relative to a base year (= 100).
39.4 Ratio Analysis — The Centrepiece
A financial ratio is a quantified relationship between two items of the financial statements. Alexander Wall (1919) pioneered ratio analysis for credit appraisal at the American Bankers Association.
Ratios are grouped into five classes (NTA stems favour this classification):
| Class | Purpose | Examples |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | Short-term solvency | Current, Quick, Cash |
| Leverage / Solvency | Long-term solvency | Debt-Equity, Interest Coverage, DSCR |
| Activity / Turnover | Efficiency of asset use | Inventory T/O, Debtors T/O, Asset T/O |
| Profitability | Earning power | GP, NP, OP, ROA, ROE, ROCE |
| Market / Valuation | Investor perspective | EPS, P/E, DPS, Dividend Yield, M/B, Tobin’s Q |
39.4.1 Liquidity Ratios
| Ratio | Formula | Ideal |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | Current Assets / Current Liabilities | 2 : 1 |
| Quick / Acid-Test / Liquid Ratio | (CA − Inventory − Prepaid) / CL | 1 : 1 |
| Cash / Absolute Liquid Ratio | (Cash + Marketable Securities) / CL | 0.5 : 1 |
| Defensive Interval Ratio | Liquid Assets / Daily Operating Expenses | days |
| Net Working Capital | CA − CL | absolute |
39.4.2 Leverage / Solvency Ratios
| Ratio | Formula | Ideal |
|---|---|---|
| Debt-Equity | Long-term Debt / Equity (Shareholders’ Funds) | 2 : 1 (varies) |
| Total Debt to Total Assets | Total Debt / Total Assets | < 0.5 |
| Proprietary Ratio | Shareholders’ Funds / Total Assets | > 0.5 |
| Capital Gearing | Pref + Debt / Equity Shareholders’ Funds | varies |
| Interest Coverage | EBIT / Interest | ≥ 4 |
| DSCR (Debt Service Coverage) | (EBIT + Depreciation) / (Interest + Principal) | ≥ 1.5 |
39.4.3 Activity / Turnover Ratios
| Ratio | Formula |
|---|---|
| Inventory Turnover | COGS / Avg Inventory |
| Inventory Holding Period | 365 / Inv T/O |
| Debtors / Receivables T/O | Credit Sales / Avg Debtors |
| Avg Collection Period | 365 / Debtors T/O |
| Creditors / Payables T/O | Credit Purchases / Avg Creditors |
| Avg Payment Period | 365 / Creditors T/O |
| Working Capital T/O | Sales / Net WC |
| Fixed Assets T/O | Sales / Net Fixed Assets |
| Total Assets T/O | Sales / Total Assets |
Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) = Inventory Days + Debtors Days − Creditors Days. Lower (or negative) CCC = stronger working-capital efficiency. Amazon famously runs a negative CCC.
39.4.4 Profitability Ratios
| Ratio | Formula |
|---|---|
| Gross Profit Ratio | GP / Sales × 100 |
| Operating Profit Ratio | OP (EBIT) / Sales × 100 |
| Net Profit Ratio | PAT / Sales × 100 |
| Operating Ratio | (COGS + Opex) / Sales × 100 |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | PAT / Avg Total Assets × 100 |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | PAT / Avg Shareholders’ Funds × 100 |
| Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) | EBIT / Capital Employed × 100 |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | Return / Investment × 100 |
39.4.5 Market / Valuation Ratios
| Ratio | Formula |
|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) | (PAT − Pref Div) / No. of Equity Shares |
| Price-to-Earnings (P/E) | Market Price / EPS |
| Dividend Per Share (DPS) | Total Equity Dividend / No. of Equity Shares |
| Dividend Yield | DPS / Market Price × 100 |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | DPS / EPS × 100 |
| Earnings Yield | EPS / Market Price × 100 |
| Book Value Per Share | Equity SH Funds / No. of Shares |
| Price-to-Book (P/B, M/B) | Market Price / Book Value |
| Tobin’s Q | Market Value of Firm / Replacement Cost of Assets |
| PEG Ratio | P/E ÷ Earnings Growth Rate |
39.5 Du Pont Analysis
Du Pont Analysis — developed at DuPont Corporation in 1919 by F. Donaldson Brown — decomposes Return on Equity (ROE) into its drivers:
39.5.1 3-Step Du Pont
ROE = Net Profit Margin × Total Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
\[\text{ROE} = \frac{\text{PAT}}{\text{Sales}} \times \frac{\text{Sales}}{\text{Assets}} \times \frac{\text{Assets}}{\text{Equity}}\]
The three drivers tell you whether ROE comes from profitability (margins), efficiency (asset use) or leverage.
39.5.2 5-Step Du Pont (Modern)
ROE = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
39.6 Fund Flow Statement
A Fund Flow Statement is a statement of the changes in the financial position of an enterprise between two balance-sheet dates, focusing on movement of working capital (current assets − current liabilities). Pioneered by William Morse Cole (1908); systematised by H.A. Finney.
- Schedule of Changes in Working Capital — shows increase/decrease.
- Statement of Sources and Applications of Funds — funds generated and used.
- Adjusted P&L — derives Funds from Operations.
| Sources of Funds | Applications of Funds |
|---|---|
| Funds from operations | Funds lost in operations |
| Issue of shares / debentures | Redemption of shares / debentures |
| Long-term borrowings | Repayment of long-term loans |
| Sale of fixed assets / investments | Purchase of fixed assets / investments |
| Decrease in working capital | Increase in working capital |
| Dividend paid · Tax paid |
Fund Flow = changes in working capital; Cash Flow = changes in cash. AS-3 (1985) made cash-flow statement standard; Ind AS does not require fund-flow statement. Fund flow is largely a legacy tool now.
39.7 Cash Flow Statement (Recap)
Covered in Topic 37 — AS-3 / Ind AS-7 classifies cash flows into Operating, Investing and Financing. Direct method vs Indirect method (most listed firms use indirect).
- Direct method — shows actual cash receipts and payments (from customers, to suppliers, to employees).
- Indirect method — starts from PAT, adjusts for non-cash items (depreciation, provisions) and changes in working capital.
39.8 EVA and MVA — Modern Performance Measures
| Measure | Formula | What it shows |
|---|---|---|
| EVA — Economic Value Added | NOPAT − (WACC × Capital Employed) | Value created above cost of capital |
| MVA — Market Value Added | Market Value − Book Value of Capital | Cumulative wealth created for shareholders |
| NOPAT | EBIT × (1 − Tax rate) | Operating profit after tax (pre-interest) |
EVA was popularised by Stern Stewart & Co. (G. Bennett Stewart, 1991) — many firms (Coca-Cola, Tata, Infosys) adopted it as the headline performance metric.
39.9 Z-Score — Altman’s Bankruptcy Prediction
Edward I. Altman (1968) developed the Z-Score to predict bankruptcy 1-2 years ahead:
\[Z = 1.2X_1 + 1.4X_2 + 3.3X_3 + 0.6X_4 + 1.0X_5\]
where X₁ = WC/Total Assets, X₂ = Retained Earnings/TA, X₃ = EBIT/TA, X₄ = Market Value Equity/Book Value Debt, X₅ = Sales/TA.
- Z > 2.99 — Safe Zone — low probability of bankruptcy.
- 1.81 < Z < 2.99 — Grey Zone — caution.
- Z < 1.81 — Distress Zone — high bankruptcy risk.
Modified versions (Z’-Score for private firms; Z’’-Score for non-manufacturers, emerging markets) are widely used.
39.10 Beneish M-Score & Piotroski F-Score
- Beneish M-Score (Messod Beneish, 1999) — detects earnings manipulation through 8 ratios. Famous for flagging Enron.
- Piotroski F-Score (Joseph Piotroski, 2000) — 9-point score of financial strength; widely used by value investors.
39.11 Limitations of Financial Statement Analysis
- Based on historical data; may not reflect future.
- Ignores inflation / price-level changes.
- Influenced by accounting policies — depreciation method, inventory valuation.
- Window dressing / earnings management can distort.
- Qualitative factors (management, brand, IP) not captured.
- No universal benchmarks for ratios.
- Cross-firm comparability limited if size, industry, or geography differ.
- Off-balance-sheet items missing.
- Susceptible to fraud — Satyam, Enron, WorldCom.
39.12 Common Indian Accounting Frauds — Cases
| Case | Year | Issue |
|---|---|---|
| Satyam Computer Services | 2009 | India’s biggest corporate accounting fraud (₹7,800 cr) — Ramalinga Raju |
| Kingfisher Airlines | 2012 | Mounting losses, bank defaults |
| Punjab National Bank (Nirav Modi) | 2018 | LoU fraud — ₹14,000 cr |
| IL&FS | 2018 | Debt crisis, governance failure |
| DHFL | 2019 | Misappropriation; insolvency |
| Yes Bank | 2020 | Lending crisis |
| PMC Bank | 2019 | HDIL exposure |
| Reliance Capital, Future Group | 2020-22 | Distress / IBC |
39.13 Modern Trends in Financial Statement Analysis
- Real-time analytics — APIs into ERP.
- AI/ML-based fraud detection — Mind Bridge, ZoomEra.
- NLP analysis of MD&A sections.
- ESG and sustainability ratios.
- Forensic ratios to detect manipulation.
- Industry analytics platforms — Capital IQ, ProwessIQ (CMIE).
- Fair-value-based ratios under Ind AS.
- Off-balance-sheet exposures included (Ind AS 116 leases).
- Sentiment analysis on conference calls.
- Comparable analysis through DCF and trading multiples.
- Big-data ratio benchmarking.
- Real-time XBRL filings.
39.14 Practice Questions
The pioneer of using ratio analysis for credit appraisal (1919) is:
View solution
The ideal current ratio is generally taken as:
View solution
Quick Ratio is computed by excluding which from current assets?
View solution
In the 3-step Du Pont, ROE equals Net Profit Margin × Total Asset Turnover × ___ :
View solution
An Altman Z-Score below 1.81 indicates:
View solution
Economic Value Added (EVA) is calculated as:
View solution
In common-size income statement, each item is expressed as % of:
View solution
Inventory Turnover Ratio is calculated as:
View solution
Interest Coverage Ratio is:
View solution
P/E ratio is computed as:
View solution
The fund flow statement tracks changes in:
View solution
Du Pont analysis was developed at DuPont Corp in 1919 by:
View solution
The Beneish M-Score is used to detect:
View solution
The Piotroski F-Score has a maximum score of:
View solution
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is:
View solution
Tobin's Q is:
View solution
Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) equals:
View solution
India's biggest corporate accounting fraud (2009) was at:
View solution
Proprietary Ratio is:
View solution
Match the ratio with its class:
| (i) | Quick Ratio | (a) | Activity |
| (ii) | Debt-Equity | (b) | Profitability |
| (iii) | Inventory T/O | (c) | Liquidity |
| (iv) | ROE | (d) | Leverage |
View solution
39.14.1 Advanced Format Questions
A: DuPont analysis decomposes ROE.
R: ROE = Net margin × Asset turnover × Equity multiplier.
View solution
Ratio types: (i) Liquidity. (ii) Solvency. (iii) Profitability. (iv) Activity.
View solution
Current Assets ₹6 L; Current Liabilities ₹2 L. Current ratio is:
View solution
Net Profit ₹50,000; Shareholders' Equity ₹2,50,000. ROE is:
View solution
39.15 Quick Recall
- Pioneers: Alexander Wall (1919) — ratio analysis; John Myer (1952) — FSA textbook.
- Tools: Comparative (horizontal) · Common-size (vertical) · Trend · Ratio · Fund flow · Cash flow · Du Pont · EVA/MVA.
- 5 ratio classes: Liquidity · Leverage · Activity · Profitability · Market.
- Liquidity: Current (2:1) · Quick (1:1) · Cash (0.5:1) · Defensive Interval · NWC.
- Leverage: D/E · D/TA · Proprietary · Capital Gearing · Interest Coverage = EBIT/Int (≥4) · DSCR (≥1.5).
- Activity: Inv T/O = COGS/Avg Inv · Debtors T/O · Creditors T/O · Asset T/O · CCC = Inv + Debtors − Creditors days.
- Profitability: GP · OP · NP · Operating Ratio · ROA · ROE · ROCE = EBIT/CE · ROI.
- Market: EPS · P/E · DPS · Dividend Yield · Payout · Earnings Yield · P/B · Tobin’s Q · PEG.
- Du Pont (DuPont, F.D. Brown 1919): 3-step ROE = NPM × TAT × Equity Multiplier; 5-step adds Tax Burden + Interest Burden.
- Fund Flow (Cole 1908, Finney) = changes in working capital (legacy; not required under Ind AS).
- Cash Flow (AS-3 / Ind AS-7): Operating · Investing · Financing; Direct vs Indirect method.
- EVA — Stern Stewart 1991 = NOPAT − (WACC × Capital Employed); MVA = Market Value − Book Value.
- Altman Z-Score (1968): Z = 1.2X₁ + 1.4X₂ + 3.3X₃ + 0.6X₄ + 1.0X₅; Safe > 2.99, Distress < 1.81.
- Beneish M-Score (1999) — earnings manipulation; Piotroski F-Score (2000) — financial strength (max 9).
- Limitations: historical · inflation · accounting policies · window dressing · qualitative factors missed.
- Indian frauds: Satyam 2009 (₹7,800 cr; Ramalinga Raju) · Kingfisher · PNB-Nirav Modi · IL&FS · DHFL · Yes Bank · PMC Bank.
- Modern trends: real-time analytics · AI fraud detection · NLP on MD&A · ESG ratios · forensic ratios · industry platforms (Capital IQ, ProwessIQ) · sentiment analysis · big-data ratio benchmarking.