89 Managing Technological Change
89.1 Concept
Managing Technological Change = the systematic process of planning, implementing and assimilating new technology so that organisations realise its full strategic and operational benefits. Joseph Schumpeter (1942) called this “creative destruction”. Everett Rogers wrote Diffusion of Innovations (1962); Clayton Christensen wrote The Innovator’s Dilemma (1997).
89.2 Drivers of Technological Change
- Globalisation and competition.
- Customer expectations.
- Regulatory mandates — GST, e-invoicing, DPDP.
- Cost pressures.
- Workforce changes — remote, gig.
- Sustainability.
- Emerging technologies — AI, IoT, blockchain.
- Crises — COVID accelerated digital.
89.3 Rogers’ Diffusion of Innovations
- Innovators (2.5 %) — venturesome.
- Early Adopters (13.5 %) — respected.
- Early Majority (34 %) — deliberate.
- Late Majority (34 %) — sceptical.
- Laggards (16 %) — traditional.
Diffusion curve S-shape. Attributes of innovations: Relative Advantage · Compatibility · Complexity · Trialability · Observability.
89.4 Christensen’s Disruptive Innovation
Clayton Christensen — The Innovator’s Dilemma (1997) — established firms fail not despite doing things right, but because of it. Sustaining vs Disruptive innovation. Examples: digital photography (Kodak), mini-mills (steel), smartphones (Nokia), streaming (Netflix vs Blockbuster).
89.5 Technology Adoption Model (TAM) — Davis (1989)
Fred Davis (1989) — adoption is driven by: - Perceived Usefulness (PU). - Perceived Ease of Use (PEOU). → Attitude → Behavioural Intention → Use.
Extensions: TAM2 (Venkatesh-Davis 2000); UTAUT (Venkatesh 2003); UTAUT2 (2012) added hedonic motivation, price value, habit.
89.6 Technology Life Cycle
- Embryonic — emerging, uncertain.
- Growth — rapid adoption.
- Maturity — slowdown.
- Decline / Replacement — substituted by next S-curve.
Gartner Hype Cycle: Innovation Trigger → Peak of Inflated Expectations → Trough of Disillusionment → Slope of Enlightenment → Plateau of Productivity.
89.7 Change-Management Frameworks
- Kurt Lewin (1947) — Unfreeze · Change · Refreeze.
- John Kotter (1996) — 8 Steps.
- ADKAR — Jeff Hiatt / Prosci — Awareness, Desire, Knowledge, Ability, Reinforcement.
- Bridges Transition Model — Ending · Neutral Zone · New Beginning.
- McKinsey 7S — Strategy, Structure, Systems, Style, Staff, Skills, Shared Values.
- Burke-Litwin causal model.
89.8 Resistance to Technology Change
- Fear of job loss.
- Skill gap.
- Loss of status / control.
- Habit.
- Misinformation.
- Past failed projects.
- Trust deficit.
- Privacy concerns.
Overcoming resistance: communication · participation · training · facilitation · negotiation · co-optation · coercion (Kotter & Schlesinger 1979).
89.9 Technology Strategy
- First mover · Fast follower · Late entrant.
- Build vs Buy vs Partner.
- In-source vs Outsource.
- Open innovation (Henry Chesbrough 2003).
- Make-buy-borrow-acquire.
- Internal R&D · Joint venture · Acquisition · Licensing.
- Innovation portfolio — Core, Adjacent, Transformational (McKinsey 70-20-10).
89.10 Special Indian Initiatives
- Digital India 2015.
- Atmanirbhar Bharat 2020.
- Startup India 2016.
- IndiaAI Mission 2024.
- Semicon India 2021.
- National Quantum Mission 2023 (INR 6,003 Cr).
- National Mission on Interdisciplinary Cyber-Physical Systems (NM-ICPS).
- Bharatnet — rural broadband.
- DPI India Stack export.
- Aadhaar · UPI · ONDC as success cases.
- Drone Shakti.
- 5G launched 2022.
89.11 Modern Trends
- Digital transformation 2.0 — beyond website to AI-native.
- Generative AI integration.
- Cloud-native and SaaS.
- Composable enterprise.
- Citizen developers with low/no-code.
- Agile @ scale (SAFe).
- Two-speed IT — bi-modal.
- Tech debt management.
- Innovation labs / Centres of Excellence (CoE).
- Hackathons · Bug bounties · Innovation challenges.
- AI ethics and responsible deployment.
- Reskilling and upskilling — WEF Future of Jobs.
- ESG-tech intersection.
89.12 Practice Questions
"Creative destruction" is by:
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"Diffusion of Innovations" (1962) is by:
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Rogers' "Innovators" represent what % of adopters?
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TAM (1989) was developed by:
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Lewin's change steps are:
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Kotter's change model has:
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"The Innovator's Dilemma" (1997) is by:
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Gartner Hype Cycle's final stage is:
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ADKAR is by:
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UTAUT (2003) is by:
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Open Innovation (2003) is by:
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India launched 5G services in:
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McKinsey 7S includes all except:
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McKinsey 70-20-10 splits innovation into:
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Match:
| (i) | Diffusion of Innovations | (a) | Christensen |
| (ii) | TAM | (b) | Davis |
| (iii) | Disruptive Innovation | (c) | Rogers |
| (iv) | Open Innovation | (d) | Chesbrough |
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89.12.1 Advanced Format Questions
A: Disruptive innovations often start in low-end markets.
R: Incumbents focus on profitable customers and miss disruption (Christensen 1997).
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Adopter categories (Rogers): (i) Innovators 2.5%. (ii) Early adopters 13.5%. (iii) Early majority 34%. (iv) Late majority 34%. (v) Laggards 16%.
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Change models: (i) Lewin (3 steps). (ii) Kotter (8 steps). (iii) ADKAR. (iv) Bridges Transition.
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89.13 Quick Recall
- Tech change — Schumpeter “creative destruction” (1942).
- Diffusion (Rogers 1962): Innovators 2.5 · Early Adopters 13.5 · Early Majority 34 · Late Majority 34 · Laggards 16; attributes: RA, Compatibility, Complexity, Trialability, Observability.
- Disruptive Innovation — Christensen (1997); sustaining vs disruptive (Kodak, Nokia, Netflix).
- TAM (Davis 1989): PU + PEOU → Intention → Use; TAM2 (2000); UTAUT (Venkatesh 2003); UTAUT2 (2012).
- Tech S-curve: Embryonic → Growth → Maturity → Decline.
- Gartner Hype Cycle: Trigger → Peak → Trough → Slope → Plateau.
- Change frameworks: Lewin (1947) Unfreeze-Change-Refreeze · Kotter 8 steps (1996) · ADKAR (Hiatt-Prosci) · Bridges · McKinsey 7S · Burke-Litwin.
- Resistance — fear, skill, status, habit, misinfo, trust; overcome via Kotter-Schlesinger (1979).
- Strategy: First mover · Fast follower · Late entrant; Build vs Buy vs Partner; Open Innovation (Chesbrough 2003); 70-20-10 (McKinsey).
- India: Digital India 2015 · Atmanirbhar 2020 · Startup India 2016 · IndiaAI Mission 2024 · Semicon 2021 · National Quantum Mission 2023 · NM-ICPS · Bharatnet · 5G launch 2022 · DPI exports.
- Modern: Gen-AI integration · cloud-native · composable · citizen developers · SAFe · bi-modal · tech debt · CoE · hackathons · WEF Future of Jobs · ESG-tech.